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Oscar nominations announced: pick the winners! January 22, 2009

Posted by pacejmiller in Entertainment.
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oscarThe nominees of the 81st Academy Awards have just been announced.  As usual, a few surprises were thrown in there, but the winners are usually predictable.

Now is a good time to have a look at who the nominees are and who my pick for the winner is!  Agree?  Disagree?  Who are your picks?

PS: these are just the main categories (Actors/Actresses, Director and Best Picture).  I’m going to do a separate post on the rest of the categories.

Best Actor

Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)

Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)

Sean Penn (Milk)

Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)

Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler).

rourkeMy Pick: Mickey Rourke is definitely the early favourite and the sentimental favourite, so I think he will take this one out with ease.  It was the performance of a lifetime for Rourke, who not only looked the part but probably also felt the part due to the parallels between his life and that of Randy ‘The Ram’ Robinson.  I’d put Richard Jenkins, the surprise nominee as having virtually no chance, with the other three having equal, but insignificant chances.

Best Actress

Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)

Angelina Jolie (Changeling)

Melissa Leo (Frozen River)

Meryl Streep (Doubt)

Kate Winslet (The Reader)

winsletMy Pick: it’s just Kate Winslet’s time.  She was snubbed for Revolutionary Road because they probably thought there was no need to waste an extra nomination on the same person, since she was gonna win it anyway.  On the others I would say: Anne Hathaway is the dark horse, Leo’s just happy to be there, Streep already has too many accolades and Jolie doesn’t really deserve it.

Best Supporting Actor

Josh Brolin (Milk)

Robert Downey Jr (Tropic Thunder)

Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)

Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)

Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)

ledgerMy Pick: is it a coincidence that the nominees were named on the anniversary of Heath Ledger’s death?  The sentimentality will just be too much to ignore.  Besides, it was a performance worthy of a win had he still been alive anyway.  Unless there is an unexpected turn of the tide away from Ledger in favour of Josh Brolin (as people think it’s enough of an honour for a dead person to be nominated), expect Heath to take this one out.  Hoffman’s already got one and Shannon’s probably just happy to be nominated.  On top of that, Downey Jr’s nomination is really just a joke.

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams (Doubt)

Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)

Viola Davis (Doubt)

Taraji P Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)

Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)

adamsMy Pick: this one is the most wide open category out of the top awards.  I can’t see Penelope Cruz winning and Marisa Tomei already has one.  We could see a surprise winner here, but I’ll have to go with Amy Adams.

Best Director

Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)

Stephen Daldry (The Reader)

David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)

Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon)

Gus Van Sant (Milk)

boyleMy Pick: the film that wins Best Director generally also wins Best Picture (except when Crash beat Brokeback Mountain, but that was one of the worst decisions in Oscar history and the anomaly only happened because the voters didn’t have any backbone).  Since I think Slumdog Millionaire will take out Best Picture (see below), I’ll have to go with Danny Boyle.

Best Picture

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Frost/Nixon

Milk

The Reader

Slumdog Millionaire

slumdog-millionaire1My Pick: usually the film with the most nominations is the favourite, but I can’t see Button winning.  The obvious choice would have to be Slumdog Millionaire.  It’s different, it’s inspirational, and it’s hugely popular all over the world.  I can’t see any of the other three films having a shot of an upset.

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Comments»

1. Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Winners « About Writing - The Personal Blog of An Aspiring Writer - January 26, 2009

[…] I’m still sticking to my original picks of Mickey Rourke for Best Actor and Kate Winslet for Best Actress (albeit for The Reader).  If […]

2. Oscars 09: who should win and who will « About Writing - The Personal Blog of An Aspiring Writer - February 21, 2009

[…] here).  While I initially predicted the winners and losers when the nominations first came out (here and here), the landscape has changed a little and I feel that now, since I’ve seen most of […]


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